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Add up everything an unplanned stop costs, separate what grows with duration from what is fixed per event and see how much a preventive and predictive maintenance program returns each year.
Pre-sizing and estimating tool: results do not replace design, calculations or reports signed by a licensed professional, nor verification against the applicable codes and standards.
Items that grow with duration and fixed items per event.
The fixed part (repair, restart, scrap, penalties) weighs more in short stops.
The program cost is included in the proposed column.
Cash flow of the improvement: investment in year 0 and annual savings escalated at the rate entered, discounted at the MARR.
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Add the contribution margin that will not be recovered, the extra cost of recovering the rest, labor left without work and energy used while stopped. Then add fixed costs per event: repair, restart, scrap and penalties.
Because a stop does not only remove revenue: it also avoids spending raw material and direct energy. What you lose is contribution margin, and only on the share that never comes back.
It depends on history. The DOE O&M guide cites 35% to 45% less downtime and 70% to 75% fewer breakdowns with mature predictive programs. Use your own equipment data.
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