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Attribute capability: binomial and Poisson

When the result is pass/fail or a defect count, capability is measured by the rate: how much comes out defective, how sure you are, and whether you can claim the process meets the customer target.

Pre-sizing and estimating tool: results do not replace design, calculations or reports signed by a licensed professional, nor verification against the applicable codes and standards.

CheckRevised 11/03/2026
Type of data
Samples (binomial)
See what was read
Control chart

Equivalent to the binomial and Poisson capability reports: P or U chart, cumulative % defective or DPU with confidence bounds, rate × sample size (or binomial/Poisson plot), histogram and summary statistics with exact intervals. Test 2 = 9 points on one side; 3 = 6 rising or falling; 4 = 14 alternating.

Translation into parts and money (optional)

Scrap, rework, re-inspection and return freight of each defective part (or each touch-up, for defects). Leave production blank to skip the translation.

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—Process capability
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Summary statistics

P Chart

Proportion defective of each sample, center line and 3σ limits (stepped when the size varies). Red points fail a test; the number above is the test.

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Cumulative % defective

Estimate recomputed at each sample, with confidence bounds. When the line levels off, there are enough samples.

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Rate of defectives × sample size

Points scattered at random around the mean show that the rate does not depend on sample size; the funnel marks the 3σ limits.

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Histogram

Distribution of the rate per sample. In a capable process almost all bars are left of the target.

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How much to inspect to prove the target

Confidence bounds of the rate as the total inspected grows, at the current rate. Where the upper bound crosses the target, the sample starts to prove the process meets it.

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Parts and money

Estimated rate applied to annual production, with the confidence-interval range.

Samples and signals

Rate, limits and z of each sample; z = distance from the center line in standard deviations.

Next step

Take this page’s results to another calculator with the fields already filled in.

The calculation report gathers this page's inputs, results, equations, assumptions and references, with fields for project, engineer and revision. The full report also includes the charts and interpretations, in color. In the print dialog, choose Save as PDF.

Method, assumptions and references

Equations used

Binomial: p̄ = D/N (D = defectives, N = total parts); % defective = 100·p̄; PPM = 10⁶·p̄; process Z = Φ⁻¹(1 − p̄)
Clopper-Pearson CI: pL = B⁻¹(α/2; D, N − D + 1), pU = B⁻¹(1 − α/2; D + 1, N − D) (same as the F form with df 2D, 2(N − D + 1) and 2(D + 1), 2(N − D)); Z CI = [Φ⁻¹(1 − pU); Φ⁻¹(1 − pL)]
Poisson: DPU = D/U (U = total units); CI = [χ²(α/2; 2D)/(2U); χ²(1 − α/2; 2D + 2)/(2U)]; mean defects = D/k, with the same CI divided by 2k; DPMO = 10⁶·DPU/opportunities; yield = e^(−DPU)
P chart: UCL, LCL = p̄ ± 3√(p̄(1 − p̄)/nᵢ); U chart: ū ± 3√(ū/nᵢ) (LCL ≥ 0); zᵢ = (pᵢ − p̄)/σᵢ; tests 1 (|z| > 3), 2 (9 on one side), 3 (6 rising or falling), 4 (14 alternating)
Actual ÷ expected spread = σz = MR̄(z)/1.128 (assistant criterion: outside 75% to 130% indicates under- or overdispersion); total to inspect to prove the target: smallest N with upper bound(p̄, N) ≤ target

Assumptions and limits

  • Binomial: every part has the same probability of being defective, independently of the others. Poisson: defects occur at random at the same rate per unit, area or length. The chart and the rate × size plot check these assumptions.
  • The estimate predicts the future only if the process is in statistical control (no chart signals).
  • The binomial/Poisson plot compares the sorted observed values with model quantiles at positions (i − 0.3)/(k + 0.4), with constant sample size.

Standards and technical documents

  • Clopper, C. J.; Pearson, E. S. The use of confidence or fiducial limits illustrated in the case of the binomial. Biometrika 26:404–413, 1934
  • Montgomery, D. C. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 8th ed. Wiley, 2019 (cap. 7: cartas P e U)
  • AIAG. Statistical Process Control (SPC) Reference Manual, 2nd ed., 2005
  • Laney, D. B. Improved control charts for attributes. Quality Engineering 14(4):531–537, 2002
  • ISO 22514-5:2019 Statistical methods in process management — Capability and performance — Part 5: Process capability statistics for attribute characteristics
  • Assistente de capacidade binomial e de Poisson: critérios de verificação dos dados (white paper do software de referência, 2019)

U.S. regulations

  • ISO 9001:2015, 9.1.3: analysis and evaluation
  • IATF 16949:2016, 9.1.1.1: monitoring and measurement of manufacturing processes (capability studies)

Frequently asked questions

What is attribute capability?

It measures how much a process produces out of specification when the result is not a continuous measurement but pass/fail (binomial) or a defect count (Poisson). Instead of Cpk you use % defective, PPM, process Z or defects per unit, always with a confidence interval.

When do I use binomial and when Poisson?

Binomial when each part is classed as good or defective and you know how many were inspected. Poisson when you count defects and one unit can have several: bubbles per panel, flaws per meter of weld, errors per invoice. If a part with 3 defects counts as 1 defective, it is binomial.

What does process Z mean?

It is the distance, in standard deviations of the normal curve, that would leave the same proportion defective in the tail: 2.3% equals Z = 2; 0.135%, Z = 3. It lets you compare an attribute process with the Cpk of a variables process (Cpk ≈ Z/3 for a centered, one-sided process).

Why does the page say the target is "not proven"?

Because the estimate comes from a sample. If the upper confidence bound exceeds the target, the true rate may still be above it. The "How much to inspect" chart shows how many parts, at the current rate, would make the proof possible.

How many samples do I need?

The reference assistant asks for at least 25 samples, each with n·p̄ of at least 0.5 (in the connector example, at 2.3% defective, at least 22 parts per sample). With very low rates, combine periods or use the G chart for rare events.

What is actual ÷ expected spread?

It compares the variation of rates between samples with what the binomial or Poisson predicts. Above 130%, samples vary more than the model says (common with samples of thousands of parts) and the P or U chart gives false alarms: use the Laney P′ or U′ chart.

How do the numbers compare with statistical software?

The formulas are those published for the binomial and Poisson capability reports: exact Clopper-Pearson interval via the F distribution and exact Poisson via chi-square. With 511 defectives in 5,342 items, the page gives 9.57% (CI 8.79% to 10.39%), 95,657 PPM and Z 1.31, the same figures as the published unanswered-calls example.