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Rare event charts: G and T

When defects, breakdowns or accidents are rare, what you monitor is the interval between them: how many parts, days or hours pass until the next one, and whether that interval is getting shorter. Use it when a P or U chart would be almost all zeros (rate below 1%): all you need is the list of event dates, or the parts/hours between them; you get the chart with limits, the signals of worsening or improvement and the yearly cost of the events.

Pre-sizing and estimating tool: results do not replace design, calculations or reports signed by a licensed professional, nor verification against the applicable codes and standards.

CheckRevised 11/03/2026
Chart
See what was read

Accepted dates: 2026-06-01 07:30, 06/01/2026 07:30 (month first in English) or the Excel date serial number. On the G chart with dates, each point is the number of whole days between events (0 = same day).

Parameters and tests
Cost of the events (optional)

With the cost of each event (lot rework, machine downtime, accident handling), the page converts the estimated frequency into cost per year.

Your inputs stay only on this browser and are not sent anywhere. Untick to delete them.

—Stability of the event frequency
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G Chart

Each point is the interval up to the event. Center line = median; limits from the 0.135% and 99.865% percentiles. Red points fail a test; the number above is the test (B = Benneyan).

How to read: horizontal axis = events in order; vertical axis = interval up to each event (parts, days or hours since the previous one). Here up is good: a long interval = a rare event. Center line = median; dashed = limits. Red numbered points = signals; many points in a row below the median = events are getting more frequent.

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Parameters and limits

Cumulative events

Event count against cumulative exposure, with the line expected from the estimated rate and the 90% Poisson band. The curve above the band is deterioration; below, improvement.

How to read: horizontal axis = cumulative exposure (parts or time); vertical axis = number of events up to there. The straight line is what the reference rate predicted and the grey band is normal variation. Curve above the band = events sped up (worse); below = they became rarer (better).

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Distribution of the intervals

Histogram of the intervals with the count expected from the fitted distribution; the vertical lines mark the center line and the UCL.

How to read: bars = how many intervals fell in each bin; red line = count predicted by the model. Vertical lines = median and UCL. Many bars on the left and a long tail to the right are normal. Bars well above the line in some stretch mean the model does not describe the data well.

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Probability plot

Points on the line: the chosen distribution describes the intervals well, and the limits can be trusted.

How to read: each point is an observed interval, sorted, against the value the model predicted for that position. Points on the line = adequate model and reliable limits. Points drifting away at the ends = some intervals are shorter or longer than the model explains; read the signals with caution.

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Signals found

Points that fail a test, with the percentile of the interval in the fitted distribution.

Next step

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Method, assumptions and references

Equations used

G chart: xᵢ = opportunities (or whole days) between events; p̂ = [(N − 1)/N]/(x̄ + 1) (Benneyan); F(y) = 1 − (1 − p̂)ʸ, y = x + 1 ("number until the event")
G chart percentile q: Gq = Ga + (q − F(Ga))/(F(Gb) − F(Ga)), with Gb the smallest integer with F(Gb) ≥ q and Ga = Gb − 1; CL = G(0.5) − 1; LCL = G(Φ(−K)) − 1 (≥ 0); UCL = G(Φ(K)) − 1
T chart: Weibull F(t) = 1 − exp[−(t/η)^β] by maximum likelihood (exponential: β = 1, η = mean); with zero durations, regression of ln t on ln[−ln(1 − Fᵢ)], Fᵢ = (rank − 0.3)/(N + 0.4); CL = η(ln 2)^(1/β); limits = η[−ln(1 − q)]^(1/β), q = Φ(∓K)
Tests: zᵢ = Φ⁻¹(F(xᵢ)); test 1 |z| > K; 2: 9 on one side of the median; 3: 6 rising or falling; 4: 14 alternating; 5–8 with ±1σ and ±2σ zones at the Φ(±1) and Φ(±2) percentiles; Benneyan: k = ⌈ln 0.00135/ln p̂⌉ zeros in a row

Assumptions and limits

  • Independent events, with the same probability per opportunity (G) or the same time distribution (T) while the process does not change. On the G chart with dates, the number of opportunities per day should be reasonably constant.
  • The Benneyan test uses the run length with probability below 0.135%, consistent with the published example (p̂ = 0.099 → 3 zeros in a row).
  • The cumulative-events band uses the 5% and 95% Poisson quantiles at the estimation-phase rate; it is a complementary reading, not a chart test.

Standards and technical documents

  • Benneyan, J. C. Number-between g-type statistical quality control charts for monitoring adverse events. Health Care Management Science 4:319–336, 2001
  • Kaminsky, F. C. et al. Statistical control charts based on a geometric distribution. Journal of Quality Technology 24(2):63–69, 1992
  • Montgomery, D. C. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 8th ed. Wiley, 2019 (cartas para eventos raros e tempo entre eventos)
  • Nelson, L. S. A control chart for parts-per-million nonconforming items. Journal of Quality Technology 26(3):239–240, 1994
  • D’Agostino, R. B.; Stephens, M. A. Goodness-of-Fit Techniques. Marcel Dekker, 1986 (tab. 4.14 e 4.17)
  • Fórmulas publicadas das cartas G e T ("Methods and formulas", software estatístico de referência, 2024)

U.S. regulations

  • ISO 9001:2015, 9.1.3: analysis and evaluation
  • ISO 45001:2018, 9.1: monitoring OH&S performance (accidents and incidents)

Frequently asked questions

When should I use a G or T chart instead of a P or U chart?

When the event is rare: defects in PPM, machine breakdowns, accidents, contaminations. A P or U chart would have almost every point at zero and meaningless limits; the G or T chart tracks the interval between events, which changes visibly when the frequency changes.

What is the difference between G and T?

The G chart counts discrete units between events: parts, cycles, lots or whole days. The T chart measures continuous time (hours, fractional days) and uses the Weibull or exponential. With breakdown dates and times, use T; with the number of parts between defects, use G.

Why is the center line not the mean?

Because intervals between rare events are very skewed: many short and a few very long. The mean is pulled up by the long ones; the median shows the typical interval. The limits are also percentiles (0.135% and 99.865%) rather than mean ± 3σ.

Is a point above the UCL bad?

No: on these charts, up is good. A point above the UCL is an unusually long interval without events, a sign of improvement worth understanding. Deterioration shows as low points, usually via test 2 (9 in a row below the center line) or the Benneyan test.

What is the Benneyan test?

It is the G chart’s own test: it signals when several intervals in a row are zero, that is, events on the same part or the same day. The number of zeros needed depends on p̂; with p̂ = 0.1 it is 3 zeros in a row.

How do I paste dates from Excel?

Paste the column of dates (and times) in event order; the page accepts 06/01/2026 07:30, 2026-06-01 07:30 or the Excel date serial number. On the G chart with dates, events on the same day become a zero interval.

What does the Weibull shape β say about breakdowns?

β near 1: random breakdowns, unrelated to time since the last repair. β above 1: wear-out, risk grows with time, and preventive maintenance helps. β below 1: breakdowns right after repair, a sign of poor repair work or a bad spare part.